Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.022121 0.023758 0.025463 0.027372 0.029453 0.031654 0.034162
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.019148 0.021470 0.024013 0.027013 0.030467 0.034330 0.038997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.017255 0.019980 0.023079 0.026884 0.031453 0.036794 0.043551
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.015717 0.018667 0.022127 0.026513 0.031964 0.038570 0.047260
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.014699 0.017844 0.021630 0.026565 0.032888 0.040799 0.051575
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.013671 0.016907 0.020891 0.026210 0.033206 0.042209 0.054857
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.012721 0.015990 0.020094 0.025691 0.033228 0.043173 0.057543
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.012005 0.015319 0.019557 0.025451 0.033564 0.044529 0.060802
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.011365 0.014704 0.019044 0.025193 0.033831 0.045769 0.063938
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.010685 0.013994 0.018359 0.024645 0.033640 0.046325 0.066078
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.010349 0.013726 0.018252 0.024882 0.034555 0.048492 0.070731
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.009960 0.013364 0.017991 0.024875 0.035101 0.050128 0.074665
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009690 0.013158 0.017940 0.025173 0.036118 0.052541 0.080012
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009256 0.012698 0.017505 0.024879 0.036222 0.053556 0.083180
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008909 0.012346 0.017207 0.024769 0.036591 0.054991 0.087124
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008522 0.011920 0.016778 0.024434 0.036580 0.055809 0.090064
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.008270 0.011677 0.016607 0.024482 0.037172 0.057622 0.094836
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.007934 0.011297 0.016214 0.024159 0.037142 0.058395 0.097813
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.007582 0.010877 0.015742 0.023688 0.036837 0.058681 0.099915
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007314 0.010576 0.015438 0.023469 0.036936 0.059651 0.103330
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007059 0.010284 0.015135 0.023235 0.036991 0.060539 0.106642
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006755 0.009906 0.014684 0.022737 0.036567 0.060551 0.108262
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.006633 0.009806 0.014665 0.022953 0.037384 0.062822 0.114452